1 Trade to Play Sticky Inflation and Powell’s Fed Rate Cut Warning Now

Core Viewpoint - March U.S. Treasury note futures are presenting a selling opportunity due to ongoing price weakness and bearish technical indicators [1][2]. Technical Analysis - Prices of March U.S. Treasury note futures are trending down, with a minor bear flag pattern observed on the daily bar chart [2]. - The MACD indicator is in a bearish posture, indicating that the bears hold a near-term technical advantage [2]. - A move below the last week's low of 112.14 would signal a selling opportunity, with a downside price objective of 111.00 or lower [4]. Fundamental Analysis - The recent Federal Reserve FOMC meeting adopted a hawkish stance on U.S. monetary policy, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggesting that interest rates may not decrease further after a 0.25% cut [3]. - U.S. inflation is described as "sticky" and remains above the Fed's target, contributing to bearish sentiment for U.S. Treasury prices [3].