Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-06 00:31Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 106.4 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.1 billion yuan, a significant recovery from a net loss of 140 million yuan in the same period of 2024 [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 39.6 billion yuan, up 3.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.53 billion yuan, reflecting a 34% increase year-on-year [1] - The non-recurring net profit for Q3 2025 was 3.16 billion yuan, a 30% increase year-on-year [1] - The improvement in profitability was attributed to better cost management and a significant increase in passenger load factor despite a decline in industry prices [2] Cost Management and Operational Efficiency - The company successfully controlled costs, resulting in a 2.6% decrease in unit costs year-on-year, with fuel costs down by 7.1% due to falling oil prices [2] - The company issued perpetual bonds totaling 25 billion yuan to replace existing debt, leading to a steady decline in interest expenses [2] International Route Development - The company’s international capacity in Q3 2025 reached 114% of the level in the same period of 2019, with new routes to South America and India contributing to improved operational efficiency [3] - The policy of visa exemption for foreigners has boosted inbound demand, with 72% of inbound travelers being visa-exempt, benefiting the company’s international operations [3] Non-Recurring Income and Investment Gains - The company received approximately 1.3 billion yuan in compensation for land expropriation related to the expansion of Pudong Airport, contributing to non-recurring income [3] - An investment gain of 350 million yuan was recognized in Q3, likely from a stake in an engine maintenance company [3] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in industry prices and the release of reform dividends, with net profit forecasts for 2025 raised to 870 million yuan and projections of 3.47 billion yuan and 5.18 billion yuan for 2026 and 2027, respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 127, 32, and 21 for 2025-2027 [4]