国际金融市场早知道：11月6日

Market Overview - The U.S. federal government shutdown has reached its 36th day, breaking the previous record of 35 days set from late 2018 to early 2019, potentially reducing Q4 economic growth by up to 2 percentage points [1] - The U.S. Treasury Department announced a quarterly refinancing plan, maintaining a debt auction scale of $125 billion, with plans to gradually increase this scale by mid-2026 [1] - The U.S. ADP employment report for October showed an increase of 42,000 jobs, significantly exceeding the expected 30,000, while the previous month's data was revised to a decrease of 29,000 [1] Economic Indicators - The ISM Services PMI for October rose by 2.4 points to 52.4, marking an eight-month high and surpassing the expected 50.8, with the new orders index jumping 5.8 points to 56.2, the highest in a year [2] - The Eurozone's final services PMI for October was 53%, better than the initial estimate of 52.6%, contributing to a composite PMI of 52.5, the highest since May 2023 [2] - Japan's central bank is experiencing internal divisions regarding the timing of interest rate hikes, with some members advocating for caution due to the country's long history of deflation [2] Currency and Commodity Markets - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.05% to 100.16, while most non-U.S. currencies appreciated against the dollar [5] - U.S. crude oil futures fell by 1.52% to $59.64 per barrel, and Brent crude oil futures dropped by 1.4% to $63.54 per barrel [5] - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures increasing by 0.75% to $3,990.40 per ounce and COMEX silver futures rising by 1.20% to $47.86 per ounce [5]