AMEC(SH:688012) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-06 02:40Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 51% in Q3 2025, with contract liabilities increasing by 39% quarter-over-quarter, indicating strong order confirmations and faster growth in new orders, leading to overall performance exceeding expectations [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 8.06 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 46.4%, with etching equipment revenue at 6.1 billion yuan, up approximately 38% [2]. - The revenue from LPCVD and ALD thin film equipment reached 400 million yuan, showing a significant year-over-year growth of about 1333% [2]. - The net profit for the same period was 1.21 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 32.7%, with an EPS of 1.94 yuan [2]. - In Q3 2025, the company generated a revenue of 3.1 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 50.6%, and a net profit of 510 million yuan, up 27.5% year-over-year [2]. Market Position and Expansion - The company is a leader in the domestic semiconductor etching equipment sector and is expanding into other areas such as thin films and measurement [1][2]. - The company aims to cover over 60% of the equipment market in key integrated circuit areas through independent research and development as well as external acquisitions over the next five to ten years, further opening growth potential [1][2]. Industry Context - The expansion of advanced processes in China's semiconductor industry is expected to benefit the company, especially as the U.S. continues to exert pressure on China's semiconductor sector, creating a demand gap in high-end GPU and storage products [3]. - Increased funding and policy support for advanced processes, including lithography machines and EDA tools, are anticipated to drive a new round of capacity expansion in China's semiconductor industry [3]. Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.1 billion yuan, 3.09 billion yuan, and 4.03 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, representing year-over-year growth rates of 31%, 46%, and 30%, respectively [3]. - The expected EPS for these years is 3.42 yuan, 4.97 yuan, and 6.48 yuan, with the current stock price corresponding to PE ratios of 82, 57, and 44 for 2025-2027 [3].