伦敦金陷区间震荡 四千美元阻力难破

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices are closely linked to geopolitical and economic conditions, with upward trends often driven by geopolitical turmoil and weak U.S. economic performance [2] - Current downward risks for gold prices include improvements in the U.S. economy, a hawkish shift in Federal Reserve policy, strengthened fiscal discipline in the U.S., easing geopolitical tensions, and global central banks selling gold, but these risks are not currently significant [2] - Long-term, gold is expected to benefit from increased global liquidity and market preference amid a trend of de-globalization [2][3] Group 2 - The current gold market is in a state of fluctuation, with the $4000 level acting as a strong resistance barrier, making significant breakthroughs unlikely in the short term [4] - Technical analysis shows a bearish pattern in the 1-hour moving averages, adding downward pressure to gold prices, and a downward breakout has occurred after a period of consolidation [4] - The $3990-$4000 range remains a critical resistance area, and investors are advised to consider short positions if prices rebound and remain below $4000 [4]