智通财经网·2025-11-06 07:13Core Viewpoint - The report from Kaiyuan Securities indicates that the Hong Kong stock market is experiencing long-term asset expansion driven by the AtoH wave and the return of Chinese concept stocks, alongside sustained net inflows from southbound capital, leading to increased trading volume and high growth in related revenues for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) [1] Group 1: Revenue and Trading Volume Growth - The active spot ADT has driven significant increases in trading and settlement revenues, with trading fees and system usage fees reaching HKD 7.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 57%, including spot/derivatives/commodity revenues of HKD 4.7 billion/HKD 2.0 billion/HKD 1.1 billion, reflecting increases of 116%/15%/6% respectively [2] - The trading volume for Hong Kong stocks reached new highs, with southbound ADT at HKD 1,259 billion, a year-on-year increase of 229%, and northbound ADT at RMB 2,060 billion, a year-on-year increase of 67% [2] - The primary market for Hong Kong stocks remains robust, with 69 new listings in the first three quarters of 2025, a 53% increase year-on-year, and total fundraising amounting to HKD 1,883 billion, more than three times that of the same period in 2024 [2] Group 2: Investment Returns and Dividend Expectations - The investment return rate for HKEX has decreased, with net investment income of HKD 3.89 billion in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4%, and project investment/margin investment returns at 4.7%/2.0%, down from 5.7%/2.2% in the first half of 2025 [3] - The expected dividend yield for 2025 is 3.0%, assuming a constant payout ratio of 90%, with the current U.S. Treasury yield at 4.10% [3] - The current PE-TTM is 31.2 times, positioned at the 22nd percentile over the past decade, with a dynamic PE of 30.2 times, indicating potential for valuation improvement [3]