申万宏源:予嘉里建设(00683)目标价26.4港元 首予“买入”评级
智通财经网·2025-11-06 07:40

Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan initiates coverage on Kerry Properties (00683) with a target price of HKD 26.4 and a "Buy" rating, highlighting the synergy between high-end residential development and quality IP leasing [1] Business Overview - Kerry Properties is expected to achieve a revenue of HKD 19.5 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 49%, with property development, IP rental, and hotel operations contributing 66%, 25%, and 9% respectively [2] - The company's land bank totals 49.71 million square feet, with 42% in development properties, 37% in investment properties, 11% in hotels, and 10% in properties held for sale, primarily located in mainland China and Hong Kong [2] IP and Hotel Operations - The company's IP value reached HKD 86.3 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with 67% from mainland China and 33% from Hong Kong [3] - Total IP and hotel area is 21.33 million square feet, with major cities accounting for 73% of the total area; rental income from IP and hotels showed slight declines due to market conditions, but occupancy rates remain above market averages [3] - The company plans to increase its IP and hotel area by 760,000 square feet by 2031, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% from 2024 to 2031 [3] Real Estate Development - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved sales of HKD 16.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 130%, with mainland China and Hong Kong contributing 66% and 34% respectively [3] - The Shanghai Jinling Huating project is a key driver for mainland sales, with significant sales figures and expected profitability due to relaxed price limits [3] - In Hong Kong, sales from luxury projects have been crucial, with the company focusing on high-end residential developments [3] Financial Health and Dividends - The company maintains a strong financial position with total borrowings of HKD 59.6 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2%, and a net debt ratio of 38.4% as of the first half of 2025 [4] - The company has consistently paid dividends since 2017, with a dividend per share (DPS) of HKD 1.35, resulting in a high dividend yield of 6.9% [4]