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新一轮电力超级周期要来了,电气设备板块连续大涨
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-11-06 07:39

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the electrical equipment sector is driven by the industry's perspective on AI development and electricity supply [3] Group 1: AI and Electricity Demand - Nvidia's CEO stated that China is likely to win the AI race due to favorable regulatory conditions and lower energy costs [4] - UBS predicts that the most promising sector in China over the next decade may not be AI, but electricity, forecasting an annual growth rate of 8% in electricity demand from 2028 to 2030, indicating a "super cycle" for the electricity industry lasting 5-10 years [4] - Goldman Sachs reports that by 2027, the power consumption of AI servers will be 50 times that of cloud servers five years ago, with global data center electricity demand expected to surge by 160% by 2030 [4] Group 2: Energy Transition Challenges - The core challenge for China is to meet electricity demand while achieving a low-carbon transition, which must be actively addressed [4] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of new energy infrastructure to support the significant growth of renewable energy and maintain competitiveness in upstream sectors [5] - Key components of the new energy infrastructure include low-carbon transformation of coal, electric vehicles as energy storage solutions, hydrogen energy development, smart grid advancements, and large-scale energy storage facilities [5] Group 3: Hydrogen Energy and Policy Support - Hydrogen energy has received increasing policy support, being included in high-level national documents, indicating a strategic continuation for energy transition [6] - The focus on new energy infrastructure is crucial for addressing clean energy consumption issues and supporting the large-scale growth of wind and solar energy [6] Group 4: Electricity Market Performance - In the first nine months of 2025, China's electricity market trading volume reached 49,239 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%, with green electricity trading volume growing by 40.6% [6] - The State Grid plans to invest over 1.2 trillion yuan in the next three years to build ultra-high voltage and smart grids to optimize electricity resource allocation [7] - In the first three quarters of this year, China's total electricity consumption reached 7.77 trillion kWh, setting a historical record, with significant growth in electricity demand from internet data services driven by AI and digital economy [7]