Core Viewpoint - International gold prices have risen again, surpassing the $4,000 mark, with spot and futures prices reaching $4,010 per ounce as of November 6 [2]. Group 1: Gold Price Movement - As of November 6, gold spot prices are reported at $4,011.46 per ounce, reflecting a 0.79% increase, while COMEX gold futures are at $4,017.2 per ounce, with a 0.61% rise [2]. - Following a historical high in late October, gold prices entered a correction phase, experiencing a downward trend in early November, with closing prices on November 4 and 5 failing to exceed $4,000 per ounce [6]. Group 2: Stock Market Reaction - On November 6, Hong Kong-listed gold stocks collectively surged, with Zijin Mining International, Tongguan Gold, and Lingbao Gold rising by 8.67%, 7.14%, and 6.19% respectively. Zijin Mining also saw a 4.29% increase, while Datang Gold and Chifeng Jilong Gold rose over 3% [7]. - Specific stock performance includes Zijin Mining International at 137.90 HKD, up 8.67% with a transaction volume of 1.053 billion HKD, and Tongguan Gold at 2.70 HKD, up 7.14% with a transaction volume of 31.147 million HKD [8]. Group 3: Economic Context - The U.S. federal government has entered its 36th day of shutdown, raising concerns among investors about potential negative impacts on the U.S. economy. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that if the shutdown lasts six weeks, economic losses could reach $11 billion, and $14 billion if it extends to eight weeks [9]. - Despite a significant increase in U.S. ADP employment numbers for October, overall labor demand is slowing, and wage growth remains stagnant, adding uncertainty to the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate decisions in December [9]. - Market sentiment is currently mixed, with reduced risk aversion and increased uncertainty regarding the Fed's rate-cutting path, which may slightly diminish demand for gold in the short term. However, the long-term outlook for gold as an alternative to dollar assets remains intact, with expectations of continued price fluctuations driven by various factors [9].
国际金价再次上涨，突破4000美元关口