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时代电气(688187)季报点评:轨道交通领域稳健增长 新兴装备领域乘势而上
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-06 12:39

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 18.83 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.86%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.72 billion yuan, up 10.85% year-on-year [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q3, the company achieved a revenue of 6.62 billion yuan, which is a 9.58% increase year-on-year but a 13.82% decrease quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for Q3 was 1.05 billion yuan, reflecting a 7.69% year-on-year increase and a 0.84% quarter-on-quarter increase [2] - The gross margin for Q3 was 33.18%, up 0.62 percentage points year-on-year and 2.05 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, while the net profit margin was 16.67%, down 1.18 percentage points year-on-year but up 2.40 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Segment Performance - Revenue from rail transit equipment products reached 10.30 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.23%. This includes 8.08 billion yuan from rail transit electrical equipment (up 5.82%), 0.90 billion yuan from rail engineering machinery (up 13.47%), and 0.76 billion yuan from communication signal systems (up 14.47%) [3] - Emerging equipment products generated 8.43 billion yuan in revenue, marking a year-on-year growth of 22.26% [3] Product Breakdown - Revenue from basic components was 3.84 billion yuan, up 30.40% year-on-year; electric drive systems for new energy vehicles generated 1.87 billion yuan (up 9.25%); new energy power generation revenue was 1.59 billion yuan (up 25.26%); offshore engineering equipment revenue was 0.66 billion yuan (up 7.07%); and industrial conversion revenue was 0.47 billion yuan (up 33.47%) [4] - The semiconductor subsidiary reported a revenue of 3.92 billion yuan, a 23.19% increase year-on-year, with bipolar device revenue declining by 11% to 0.46 billion yuan, while IGBT revenue grew by 29.73% to 3.47 billion yuan [4] Investment Outlook - The company is a leading supplier of traction conversion systems in China's rail transit industry, with a diverse product range that includes locomotives and urban rail vehicles, achieving domestic substitution of core systems and leading the domestic market [5] - The company is also expanding into sectors outside rail transit, including basic components, new energy vehicle electric drive systems, new energy power generation, offshore engineering, and industrial conversion, creating new growth points [5] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been slightly adjusted, with expected net profits of 4.31 billion yuan, 4.90 billion yuan, and 5.43 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to EPS of 3.17 yuan, 3.60 yuan, and 4.00 yuan, with PE ratios of 16.3X, 14.3X, and 12.9X based on the closing price on November 5 [5]