Bitcoin’s On-Chain Trends Hint the Worst May Be Over — Here's Why

Core Insights - The cryptocurrency market has been experiencing a prolonged downturn, particularly following a significant liquidation event in October, with Bitcoin struggling to stabilize around $103,000 after dipping below $110,000 [1][5] - Despite the negative sentiment, on-chain data indicates a trend of accumulation, suggesting that the worst may be over for Bitcoin [2] Accumulation Trends - Bitcoin accumulation has reached an all-time high, with over 375,000 BTC purchased in the last 30 days, including 50,000 BTC in just the last 24 hours [3] - The number of accumulation addresses has surged, indicating that long-term holders are buying during periods of low sentiment, which reflects confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential [4][6] Market Sentiment and Recovery Indicators - The market remains fearful, influenced by macroeconomic factors such as U.S.–China tariff concerns and a stronger dollar, yet Bitcoin has maintained above the critical $100,000 level [7] - The MVRV ratio, a key metric for assessing Bitcoin's market value relative to its realized value, is currently at 1.8, suggesting a potential mid-term bottom and the beginning of a recovery phase [8][9] Market Dynamics - On-chain indicators show that the market is transitioning rather than collapsing, with moderate realized losses suggesting prudent repositioning by investors rather than panic selling [10]