Earnings Preview: Applied Materials (AMAT) Q4 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Insights - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Applied Materials (AMAT) due to lower revenues, with earnings expected to be $2.11 per share, reflecting a -9.1% change, and revenues projected at $6.7 billion, down 4.8% from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for November 13, and the stock may rise if actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.4% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Applied Materials is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.33%, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a hold position, which further diminishes the likelihood of a positive earnings surprise [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Applied Materials exceeded expectations with earnings of $2.48 per share against an estimate of $2.34, achieving a surprise of +5.98% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Industry Context - In the broader Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry, Silvaco Group, Inc. is expected to report a loss of $0.06 per share, with revenues projected at $16.07 million, up 46.5% year-over-year [18][19]. - Silvaco's consensus EPS estimate has been revised significantly higher by 216.7% in the last 30 days, but it has an Earnings ESP of 0.00%, making predictions of an earnings beat uncertain [19][20].