机构普遍认为金属具备中长期投资价值

Core Viewpoint - The metal sector, represented by gold, silver, copper, and aluminum, has experienced significant volatility this year, with international gold prices surpassing $4000 per ounce for the first time, prompting discussions among investment institutions about the potential onset of a new commodity cycle [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Market Insights - International gold prices have shown a strong upward trend, with COMEX gold futures rising from $2735 per ounce at the beginning of the year to a historical high of over $4000 per ounce, currently stabilizing above this level [1]. - The shift in gold's pricing logic is attributed to two main factors: the global trend of de-dollarization and a crisis of trust driven by de-globalization [1][3]. Group 2: Broader Metal Market Trends - Besides precious metals, non-ferrous and rare metals have also seen upward movements, particularly industrial products like copper, aluminum, rare earths, and lithium, which are benefiting from advancements in artificial intelligence [2]. - The performance of non-ferrous metals is influenced by both the dollar's strength and downstream demand, with aluminum being highlighted as a potential key asset due to its defensive and offensive characteristics [2]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Public funds are optimistic about the potential for a cyclical uptrend in the metal sector, while several futures companies express caution, noting increased upward pressure on precious metals and potential short-term downward risks for non-ferrous metals [2]. - Analysts suggest that while there is medium to long-term investment value in precious and certain non-ferrous metals, the verification of this value may require a longer investment horizon [3].