When will mortgage rates go down? Rates are creeping back up.

Core Insights - Mortgage rates are experiencing an increase after four weeks of decline, primarily influenced by rising 10-year Treasury yields [1][2] - Short-term mortgage rates are up, but annual rates have decreased compared to last year [2][4] Mortgage Rate Trends - As of November 6, 2025, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is at 6.22%, which is 57 basis points lower than the same time last year [2][15] - The 15-year fixed mortgage rate has increased to 5.50%, yet it remains 50 basis points lower than last year [2][15] - The current spread between the 30-year mortgage rate and the 10-year Treasury yield is 2.12%, down from 2.48% a year ago, contributing to lower mortgage rates [12] Federal Reserve Influence - The Federal Reserve has lowered the federal funds rate twice in 2025, which typically influences mortgage rates indirectly [5][6] - Historical trends show that mortgage rates often decline in anticipation of a fed funds rate cut but may not continue to decrease post-cut [6][8] Housing Market Dynamics - The current housing market is characterized by high demand and limited supply, keeping home prices elevated [14][15] - The median sale price of single-family homes has risen from $208,400 in Q1 2009 to $410,800 by Q2 2025 [15] Buyer Strategies - Prospective buyers are encouraged to consider various strategies, such as purchasing smaller homes or condos, to enter the market [18][24] - Exploring options like fixer-uppers or longer commutes to affordable areas can also be beneficial [21][23] - Rate buydowns are suggested as a way to make current mortgage rates more manageable [26] Future Rate Predictions - The Mortgage Bankers Association forecasts the 30-year fixed rate to remain around 6.4% through 2026, while Fannie Mae predicts a decrease to 5.9% by the end of next year [27]