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Qualcomm Faces Long-Term Squeeze From Apple, Samsung Despite iPhone 17 Share, Meta Partnership: Analysts
Benzingaยท2025-11-06 17:38

Core Insights - Qualcomm Inc delivered a strong quarter with a 10% year-over-year revenue increase, surpassing Wall Street's forecast of 5.1% [3] - The growth was primarily driven by the Qualcomm CDMA Technology segment, which rose 13.2%, exceeding the Street's estimate of 7.7% [3] - The company is experiencing strong demand in premium Android devices and emerging AI technologies, while also expanding its footprint in automotive, IoT, and edge AI [2][3] Financial Performance - Revenue for the quarter reached $9.82 billion, with QCT revenue up 13% year-over-year [10] - Adjusted EPS climbed 18% to $12.03 for fiscal 2025, both metrics exceeding forecasts [10] - Operating margins were reported at 33.8%, slightly below expectations, but strong top-line performance led to a 12-cent earnings beat [4] Market Dynamics - Qualcomm's stock has increased approximately 17% year-to-date, although it lags behind the Nasdaq's 22% gain [5] - The company benefits from solid handset sales in China, driven by local holidays and high-end Android device launches [5] - However, the smartphone semiconductor segment remains a mature industry, accounting for about 71% of QCT's total revenue [5] Customer Concentration and Risks - Chinese vendors represent nearly 68% of handset-related QCT revenue, with potential risks from self-developed chips by competitors like Xiaomi [6] - Samsung's contribution is expected to decline from 100% to 75% by fiscal Q2 2026, and the Apple contract is set to expire within a year [6] Growth Opportunities - The automotive and IoT sectors are projected to maintain steady growth, supported by rising demand for digital chassis and smart glasses [7] - Qualcomm's data center AI inference products are seen as a key step toward capturing future AI opportunities, positioning the company to lead in AI at the network edge [9] - The automotive business is scaling rapidly, with a 36% annual increase driven by the Snapdragon Digital Chassis platform [11] Future Outlook - Analysts project first-quarter revenue of $12.2 billion and adjusted EPS of $3.45, indicating continued strength despite seasonal IoT softness [12][13] - Qualcomm's diversification into automotive, IoT, and edge AI is expected to support long-term growth as the company transitions beyond smartphones [12]