Sea Limited to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Cards for the Stock?

Core Insights - Sea Limited (SE) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on November 11, with earnings estimated at $1.03 per share, a decrease of 7.2% from the previous 30 days, compared to 54 cents per share in the same quarter last year. Revenue is projected at $5.97 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 39.90% [1][2]. Group 1: Performance Drivers - Shopee's sustained momentum is anticipated to positively impact Sea Limited's performance, with Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) growing 25% year-over-year in the first half of 2025, and continued growth expected into the third quarter. Shopee has achieved record quarters and remains the market leader in Brazil, marking its fifth anniversary with significant growth and profitability [3][8]. - SeaMoney's rapid loan book expansion, reaching approximately $6.9 billion with a nearly 90% year-over-year growth, is expected to support performance. The fintech arm maintains a stable 90-day non-performing loan ratio of around 1.0%, reflecting disciplined risk management and robust portfolio health [4][8]. - Garena's strong gaming performance, driven by multiple titles achieving double-digit growth and a massive global player base exceeding 100 million daily active users, is likely to enhance Sea Limited's results. Management has raised full-year bookings guidance to over 30% year-over-year, indicating confidence in sustained engagement and monetization [5][8]. Group 2: Financial Considerations - Sea Limited's focus on expansion in e-commerce and fintech has led to significantly higher operating expenditures, with sales and marketing expenses increasing nearly 30% year-over-year to about $1.0 billion. This aggressive investment strategy may pressure profitability in the upcoming quarter [6]. - The company's current Earnings ESP stands at -6.5% with a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating that the model does not predict an earnings beat this time [7][9].