智通财经网·2025-11-07 02:11Core Viewpoint - CICC has revised down the adjusted EBITDA forecasts for Galaxy Entertainment for 2025 and 2026 by 1% and 3% to HKD 14.031 billion and HKD 14.923 billion respectively, due to increased operating expenses [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Galaxy Entertainment reported Q3 2025 revenue of HKD 12.163 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1%, recovering to 96% of Q3 2019 levels [2] - The adjusted EBITDA for the same period was HKD 3.341 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6%, recovering to 81% of Q3 2019 levels [2] - The performance was in line with market expectations, with the adjusted EBITDA closely matching the consensus estimate of HKD 3.321 billion [2] Group 2: Market Strategy and Operations - Galaxy aims to achieve a total gaming revenue market share of 20-22% and has seen strong market performance in October 2025, aided by higher VIP win rates [3] - The company noted an improvement in demand in the last weeks of October 2025, with expectations for a strong finish in Q4 2025 [3] - Despite a 300 basis point decline in profit margins due to one-time marketing expenses during the summer, daily fixed operating costs remained stable compared to Q2 2025 [3] Group 3: Future Plans and Developments - The company plans to relocate some gaming tables from Galaxy Macau to the StarWorld Hotel, anticipating demand from existing satellite gaming customers after the satellite casino closes at the end of 2025 [4] - Galaxy's Phase 4 is expected to be completed by 2027, with Broadway potentially serving as future land reserves for expansion projects [4] - Despite delays in the legalization of gaming in Thailand, Galaxy remains interested in investment opportunities in the region [4]