Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-11-07 02:37Core Viewpoint - The organic silicon market is experiencing a strong rally, with significant price increases in key companies, driven by supply factors and anticipated recovery in product prices in the coming years [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On July 7, the organic silicon sector saw a strong surge, with Dongyue Silicon Material hitting a 20% limit up, Jiangsu Guotai and Hesheng Silicon Industry also reaching limit up, and Daqo Energy rising over 9% [1]. - The average transaction price of organic silicon products is nearing the cost line, with core product DMC prices dropping to below 10,500 CNY/ton, an 83% decline from the peak in September 2021 [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The organic silicon market is facing significant competitive pressure due to supply factors, but no new production capacity is expected in the next two years, which may lead to a gradual recovery in product prices [1]. - In 2024, a substantial increase in production capacity is anticipated, with an additional 720,000 tons expected, representing a 26.5% year-on-year growth, leading to increased supply pressure [1]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Looking ahead, the industry is unlikely to see new capacity additions in the next 2-3 years, and there is a strong willingness among companies to stabilize prices due to widespread losses [2]. - The industry has already initiated a round of coordinated production cuts earlier this year, with self-regulation efforts aimed at promoting healthy development and orderly exit of outdated capacities [2].