贸易顺差扩大澳元不涨反跌

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) stabilized against the US dollar (USD) at 0.6472 after the US Supreme Court heard debates regarding Trump's tariff policies [1] - The latest ADP employment report indicated an addition of over 42,000 jobs in the US last month, surpassing the expected median of 40,000, reversing a previous decline of 32,000 jobs [1] - The ISM report showed an increase in the services PMI from 50 to 52.4, while S&P's data indicated a rise from 54.2 to 54.8 [1] Group 2 - Australia's trade surplus for September expanded to AUD 3.938 billion, exceeding the expected AUD 3.850 billion and the previous value of AUD 1.111 billion [2] - Exports turned positive with a growth of 7.9%, while imports increased by 1.1%, lower than the previous growth of 3.3% [2] Group 3 - The AUD/USD pair stabilized after hitting a low of 0.6463, coinciding with a key support level that aligns with an ascending trend line since May 12 [3] - A head and shoulders pattern has formed, indicating a bearish reversal, with the neckline being the aforementioned ascending trend line [3] - The most likely forecast for AUD/USD is bearish, with an initial target at the psychological level of 0.6400; a break above the 100-day moving average at 0.6541 would invalidate the bearish outlook [3]