继续重点布局科技主线，私募确认A股盈利驱动方向

Group 1: Core Insights - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the leading role of technology, particularly in the context of domestic substitution, with a focus on artificial intelligence and semiconductor equipment as key investment areas for private equity firms [1][4] - The improvement in the external environment, particularly in Sino-U.S. relations, is expected to enhance market risk appetite and provide a stable backdrop for domestic economic resilience and industrial upgrades [2][3] - The capital market is anticipated to enter a "slow bull" phase, with a gradual recovery in corporate earnings expected from 2025 after a decline from 2022 to 2024 [7] Group 2: Investment Focus Areas - Private equity firms are advised to concentrate on the technology sector, especially in AI applications, upstream resources, innovative pharmaceuticals, and domestic substitution as critical areas for future investment [4][5] - The semiconductor industry has shown strong performance, with significant growth in related ETFs, indicating a robust market for AI-related investments [4] - The ongoing AI wave is expected to create new investment opportunities, particularly in areas driven by capital expenditures and operational expenditures [5] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The market is currently characterized by a "slow bull" trend, with structural changes and sector rotations expected to continue, emphasizing the importance of quality in investment selection [6][7] - The overall market sentiment is improving, with a notable increase in risk premium and a shift in asset allocation towards equities as confidence in the market strengthens [7] - The anticipated recovery in earnings per share (EPS) over the next 2-3 years is expected to open up upward potential for the market, driven by improvements in the economy and corporate profitability [7]