野村：泡沫并未到来，AI叙事将进入“第二幕”！传统行业将成支出主力

Core Viewpoint - The largest technology fund in Japan believes that artificial intelligence stocks are not in a bubble and still have room for growth [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - Yasuyuki Fukuda, Chief Portfolio Manager of Nomura Asset Management's Japan Information Electronics Stock Fund, states that the AI market is "just entering its second act" and is not in a bubble phase [1] - Concerns about the global AI boom are rising, with Nvidia's market capitalization exceeding $3 trillion, marking the highest valuation in the company's history [1] - Seven large tech companies currently account for over one-third of the S&P 500 index's weight, leading investors to question whether this indicates overheating and a potential asset bubble [1] Group 2: Fund Performance - As of November 6, the Nomura fund has achieved a total return of 49% this year, outperforming the Tokyo Stock Price Index (22%) and the Tokyo Electric Index (30%) [1] - The fund's performance has exceeded that of the U.S. Nasdaq Composite Index [1] Group 3: Investment Strategy - Fukuda highlights that the current IT stock landscape is vastly different from the internet bubble burst 25 years ago, as investments are now driven by cash-rich giants like Meta, Google, and Amazon, creating more sustainable infrastructure investments [1] - The first phase of AI growth is driven by investments in data centers and cloud computing infrastructure, while the next wave will be propelled by traditional infrastructure companies like telecommunications and electric utilities [4] - The fund has seen its managed assets grow from 7.2 billion yen to 83.3 billion yen since Fukuda took over in April 2011, making it Japan's largest electronics industry investment fund [4] Group 4: Key Holdings - As of the end of September, the fund's top holdings include SoftBank Group, Fujikura, Furukawa Electric, Sony Group, and Tokyo Electron [4] - One of Fukuda's successful decisions was to increase the fund's position in SoftBank Group when its stock price was below 10,000 yen, which recently peaked at over 27,000 yen before dropping to 21,300 yen [4] Group 5: Market Concerns - Fukuda expresses concern that the recent market rally is fragile, as it is driven by only a few stocks, particularly in the Japanese market, where SoftBank Group, Advantest, and Fast Retailing have significantly influenced the Nikkei 225 index's gains [5][6]