Core Insights - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that several domestic insurance companies experienced a quarterly decline in core solvency ratios, averaging a drop of 9 percentage points [1] - The rebound in mainland bond yields negatively impacted the solvency of many insurance firms, but strong earnings and reserve growth helped mitigate these effects [1] - The report favors China Life (02628) due to its robust earnings and conservative capital management [1] - China Ping An (02318) is also favored based on its leading forecasted dividend yield of 6% for the next year compared to peers [1] Industry Performance - Major life insurance companies in mainland China saw a quarterly decline in core solvency ratios by 16 percentage points, while non-life insurance companies experienced a 3 percentage point increase [1] - Insurance management teams have implemented various measures in response, including issuing perpetual bonds, reducing equity risk exposure, and broadly decreasing non-standard asset balances [1] - Despite strong profit growth for major insurance companies in the first three quarters, the volatility in solvency capital may become a significant offset to year-end dividend forecasts, particularly for small and medium-sized life insurance companies [1]
小摩:核心偿付能力比率下降或影响内险股股息 偏好中国人寿(02628)及中国平安