OXY Stock Set to Post Q3 Earnings: What to Expect This Season?

Core Insights - Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in both revenues and earnings for the third quarter of 2025, with results expected on November 10 after market close [1][5] - The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the last four quarters, averaging a surprise of 25.72% [1] Production and Earnings Expectations - OXY's production volumes for the third quarter are expected to improve compared to the previous quarter, driven by enhanced activity levels in the Permian region and increased production across all main operating areas [2] - The company anticipates production of 1,415-1,455 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (Mboe/d) for Q3 2025, with the Permian Resources segment expected to contribute 779-799 Mboe/d [6] Financial Performance Indicators - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OXY's third-quarter revenues is $6.72 billion, reflecting a decline of 6.04% year-over-year, while the consensus for earnings is set at 48 cents per share, indicating a 52% decrease from the previous year [5][9] - Strong domestic demand for PVC may positively influence earnings, although market oversupply remains a concern [3] - OXY has been generating cash flow to reduce debts, retiring $7.5 billion in debt, which has lowered annual interest expenses by $410 million, likely benefiting earnings per share [4] Market Position and Earnings Prediction - The Zacks model does not predict an earnings beat for OXY this quarter, as the company holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) and an Earnings ESP of +0.89% [7][8] - Despite the anticipated decline in revenues and earnings, higher production volumes and effective cost management may help improve margins [9]