Compared to Estimates, Vistra (VST) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

Core Insights - Vistra Corp. reported a revenue of $4.97 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a decline of 20.9% year-over-year [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) was $1.75, significantly lower than the $5.25 reported in the same quarter last year [1] - The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7 billion, resulting in a surprise of -28.96% [1] - The company achieved an EPS surprise of +45.83%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.20 [1] Performance Metrics - Total retail electricity sales volumes reached 40,062 GWh, exceeding the average estimate of 39,366.82 GWh from two analysts [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Retail was reported at $37 million, below the average estimate of $106.78 million from two analysts [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Texas was $784 million, surpassing the average estimate of $730.17 million from two analysts [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Corporate and Other was -$22 million, better than the average estimate of -$37.41 million from two analysts [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for West was $63 million, exceeding the average estimate of $37.27 million from two analysts [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for East was $719 million, above the average estimate of $634.78 million from two analysts [4] Stock Performance - Vistra's shares have returned -12.1% over the past month, compared to a -0.2% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]