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Earnings Preview: Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Insights - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Intuitive Machines, Inc. despite higher revenues in the upcoming earnings report for the quarter ended September 2025 [1] - The stock price may react positively if the actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] Financial Expectations - The consensus estimate indicates a quarterly loss of $0.04 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year change of -300% [3] - Expected revenues are projected at $62.41 million, representing a 6.7% increase from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 18.68% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - It is important to note that aggregate changes may not represent the direction of revisions by individual analysts [4] Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks Earnings ESP model compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, providing insights into potential earnings surprises [7][8] - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a likely deviation from the consensus estimate, particularly indicating a potential earnings beat [9] Predictive Power of Earnings ESP - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [10] - Research indicates that stocks with this combination achieve a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, enhancing the predictive power of Earnings ESP [10]