美国11月消费者信心指数降至50.3 创三年来最低值

Group 1: Consumer Confidence Index - The U.S. consumer confidence index for November dropped to 50.3, marking a 6.2% decrease from October's 53.6 and a 29.9% decline year-over-year, reaching its lowest level since June 2022 and the second lowest since 1978 [1] - The current conditions confidence index fell to 52.3, down 10.8% month-over-month and 18.2% year-over-year, representing the lowest level since 1951 [1] - The future expectations confidence index decreased to 49, a 2.6% drop from the previous month and a 36.3% decline compared to the same period last year [1] Group 2: Inflation Expectations - Consumers' inflation expectations for the next year rose to 4.7%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from October [1] - The expectation for inflation over the next five years decreased to 3.6%, down 0.3 percentage points from October [1] Group 3: Government Shutdown Impact - The ongoing federal government shutdown, now in its 38th day, is the longest in U.S. history and is raising concerns among consumers about its potential negative impact on the economy [2] - The Congressional Budget Office estimated that the prolonged shutdown could reduce the annualized GDP growth rate by 1 to 2 percentage points in Q4, leading to an economic loss of $7 billion to $14 billion that may not be recoverable [2]