关键数据再“缺席”!美联储降息大消息
Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-11-08 00:22

Market Performance - US stock indices closed mixed on November 7, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.16% at 46,987.1 points, the S&P 500 up 0.13% at 6,728.8 points, and the Nasdaq down 0.21% at 23,004.54 points. For the week, the Dow Jones fell 1.21%, the S&P 500 fell 1.63%, and the Nasdaq fell 3.04% [1] - European stock indices all closed lower, with the German DAX down 0.77% at 23,550.71 points, the French CAC40 down 0.18% at 7,950.18 points, and the UK FTSE 100 down 0.55% at 9,682.57 points. For the week, the DAX fell 1.7%, the CAC40 fell 2.1%, and the FTSE 100 fell 0.36% [2][3] Employment Data - The US Labor Department failed to release the October non-farm payroll report due to a government shutdown, marking the second consecutive absence of this report. This situation raises concerns about the labor market and complicates the Federal Reserve's decision-making regarding interest rate cuts [5] - Economists had previously expected a reduction of 60,000 jobs in October, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.5%. The shutdown has led to a lack of official data, making private sector reports the only available employment indicators [6] - A report indicated that US companies announced over 153,000 layoffs in October, the highest level for this month in over 20 years, with total layoffs for the year nearing 1.1 million, the highest since the pandemic began in 2020. Factors contributing to this increase include the rise of artificial intelligence, slowing consumer and business spending, and rising costs [6] Semiconductor Industry - TSMC plans to raise prices for advanced chips manufactured using processes below 5nm, having notified major clients including Apple. The upcoming A20 chip, which will be produced using TSMC's 2nm process, is expected to see an average price of $280, which is at least a 50% increase compared to the 3nm process [7] - TSMC's price increase is attributed to the high costs associated with new technology investments and production line modifications, reinforcing its pricing power in the advanced process segment. This move is likely to lead to higher prices and profit pressures in the flagship smartphone market by 2026 [7] Monetary Policy - St. Louis Fed President Musalem indicated that there is still room for 50 to 75 basis points of monetary policy easing, aimed at supporting the labor market [8][9] - The Fed has maintained a cautious approach to interest rate adjustments, with recent cuts reflecting concerns over a cooling labor market. The Vice Chair of the Fed, Philip Jefferson, noted that current rates are near neutral levels, suggesting a gradual approach to future adjustments [9][10]