Xponential Fitness’s (NYSE:XPOF) Q3 Sales Beat Estimates, Stock Jumps 13.5%

Core Insights - Xponential Fitness reported Q3 CY2025 results that exceeded Wall Street's revenue expectations, with a revenue of $78.82 million, reflecting a 2.1% year-on-year decline but a 3.9% beat against analyst estimates [1][7] - The company anticipates full-year revenue to be around $305 million, aligning with analysts' expectations, and reported a non-GAAP profit of $0.34 per share, significantly above the consensus estimate of $0.12 [1][7] Company Overview - Xponential Fitness is the owner of several boutique fitness brands, including CycleBar, Rumble, and Club Pilates, offering diverse and specialized exercise experiences [4] Revenue Growth - The company has demonstrated strong long-term sales performance with an annualized revenue growth of 24.1% over the last five years, outperforming the average consumer discretionary company [5] - However, recent performance indicates a slowdown in demand, with an annualized revenue growth of only 2.5% over the last two years, which is below the five-year trend [6] Financial Highlights - Q3 revenue was $78.82 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $75.83 million, despite a year-on-year decline of 2.1% [7] - Adjusted EPS was $0.34, significantly beating the analyst estimate of $0.12 [7] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $33.48 million, with a margin of 42.5%, exceeding analyst expectations of $25.81 million [7] - The company reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance of $305 million and EBITDA guidance of $108.5 million, both in line with analyst expectations [7] Segment Performance - Revenue breakdown for key segments shows Franchise revenue contributing 65.8%, Equipment 9.5%, and Merchandise 6.1% [8] - Franchise revenue has averaged 17% year-on-year growth over the last two years, while Equipment and Merchandise revenues have seen declines of 8% and 13.9%, respectively [8]