ConocoPhillips Lifts Dividend 8% and Raises 2025 Output

Core Insights - ConocoPhillips reported Q3 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.61 and raised its ordinary dividend by 8% to $0.84 per share, indicating a strong cash return strategy [1][2] - The company increased its full-year production guidance to 2.375 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (MMBOED) and reduced its operating cost guidance for 2025 [1][4] - Preliminary plans for 2026 include approximately $12 billion in capital expenditures (capex) and adjusted operating costs of $10.2 billion, with an expected underlying production growth of 0-2% [1][4] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 earnings reached $1.7 billion ($1.38 per share) with adjusted earnings of $2.0 billion ($1.61 per share) [3] - Production averaged 2,399 MBOED, reflecting a 4% year-over-year increase, with significant contributions from the Lower 48 regions [3] - Cash from operations totaled $5.4 billion, supporting $2.9 billion in capex, $1.3 billion in buybacks, and $1.0 billion in dividends [3] Production and Cost Guidance - Full-year production guidance for 2025 was raised to 2.375 MMBOED, with fourth-quarter production expected between 2.30 and 2.34 MMBOED [4] - Adjusted operating cost guidance for 2025 was trimmed to $10.6 billion, indicating improved cost management [4] Project Updates - The Willow project capital was revised to $8.5-$9.0 billion due to inflation and cost escalations, with first oil expected in early 2029 [5] - LNG capital was reduced to $3.4 billion, and the company remains on schedule for various LNG projects [5] Portfolio Management - ConocoPhillips has executed over $3.0 billion in asset dispositions year-to-date 2025, including a $1.3 billion sale in the Anadarko Basin [6] - Shareholder distributions in Q3 totaled over $2.2 billion, with $1.3 billion in buybacks and $1.0 billion in dividends [6]