2 Reasons to Watch OBK and 1 to Stay Cautious

Core Viewpoint - Origin Bancorp has underperformed compared to the S&P 500, raising questions about its investment potential and whether its current stock price reflects its business quality and fundamentals [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Origin Bancorp's net interest income has increased at an annualized rate of 11.8% over the last five years, outperforming the broader banking industry and its total revenue growth [3] - The growth in net interest income is attributed to an increase in outstanding loans and net interest margin, which indicates the bank's earnings relative to its loan book [3] - For the next 12 months, Wall Street anticipates an improvement in Origin Bancorp's efficiency ratio, projecting it to be 60.8%, down from 69.6% in the past year, indicating better cost management [5] Group 2: Revenue Growth Concerns - Despite positive attributes, Origin Bancorp has experienced lackluster revenue growth, with an annualized revenue growth of only 1.6% over the last two years, which is below its five-year trend [6] - The recent slowdown in demand may reflect the impact of changing interest rates and market conditions on the company's performance [6] Group 3: Investment Considerations - Origin Bancorp's stock is currently trading at 0.9 times forward price-to-book value, suggesting potential for investment despite some uncertainties [9]