Ge Long Hui A P P·2025-11-09 07:34Core Insights - The gas turbine sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by substantial orders and a favorable market environment, with companies like Triangular Defense and Weichai Power seeing stock surges [1][3] - The global energy crisis is propelling gas turbines into a central role in the energy landscape due to their quick startup, high efficiency, and low carbon emissions [2][3] Market Dynamics - Demand for gas turbines is surging, particularly in North America, where new orders increased by 187% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with major manufacturers like GE and Siemens facing order backlogs extending to 2028 [3][6] - The price of heavy-duty gas turbines has risen by 15%-20% compared to 2023, with lead times extending from 18 months to as long as 5-7 years for some components [3][6] Domestic Industry Advancements - Chinese manufacturers are rapidly catching up in gas turbine technology, with significant advancements in the domestic production of high-temperature components and the successful ignition of hydrogen turbines [4][5] - Companies like Aero Engine Corporation of China and others are securing substantial contracts with international giants, marking a shift from reliance on imports to actively competing in the global market [6] Future Trends - The push for carbon neutrality is making hydrogen gas turbines a focal point of competition, with projections indicating a market size exceeding 50 billion yuan by 2030 [7] - The average thermal efficiency of gas turbines is currently over 45%, with goals to reach 50% in the future, which will further drive demand [7] Investment Opportunities - Key investment areas include core components, complete turbine manufacturers, and services related to low-carbon technologies, with companies like Yingliu and Dongfang Electric positioned favorably [8] - The gas turbine market is expected to exceed 300 billion yuan by 2030, with companies holding core technologies and strong international ties likely to see significant performance growth [9]