Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang·2025-11-10 01:12Overview - The demand for soybean oil is steadily increasing due to rising living standards and dietary upgrades in China, with consumption expected to reach 17.45 million tons in 2024, while production is projected at 17.29 million tons [1][14] - The average market price of soybean oil in China is anticipated to drop to 7,962.6 yuan per ton in 2024, leading to a decrease in the market size of the soybean oil industry to 138.94 billion yuan [1][14] - The import volume of soybean oil is expected to decline significantly, with imports falling to 282,100 tons in 2024, and the import value decreasing to 267 million USD [14] Industry Development - Soybean oil is one of the most widely produced and consumed vegetable oils globally, known for its quality and low cost, making it a major source of edible oil [2][8] - The industry has evolved from a state-controlled supply system to a more market-oriented approach since the 1980s, with significant policy changes encouraging foreign investment and market liberalization [6][7] - Recent trends show a growing consumer preference for high-quality, health-oriented soybean oil products, such as non-GMO and organic certified oils, prompting companies to innovate and diversify their product offerings [7][9] Market Policies - The Chinese government has implemented various policies to enhance soybean self-sufficiency and ensure raw material supply, while also enforcing strict quality and safety standards for soybean oil production [9][10] Industry Chain - The soybean oil industry encompasses upstream activities like soybean planting and procurement, midstream production, and downstream consumption across households, restaurants, and food processing sectors [11][12] - The domestic soybean planting area reached 10.47 million hectares in 2023, with a production of 20.84 million tons, supporting the growth of the soybean oil industry [13] Competitive Landscape - The market concentration of the soybean oil industry has increased, with major players like Yihai Kerry, COFCO, and Shandong Luhua holding significant market shares [15][16] - Yihai Kerry's "Golden Dragon Fish" brand has a strong market presence, supported by extensive production capabilities and a wide distribution network [15][16] Future Trends - The market for refined soybean oil is expected to expand, with a growing demand for small-packaged products and customized blended oils [17][18] - The industry is likely to shift towards green and low-carbon practices, with increased adoption of renewable energy technologies and a focus on reducing carbon emissions [17][18]