成品油零售价或遇年内第七次上调

Core Viewpoint - The international crude oil market has shown a fluctuating downward trend during the current pricing cycle, but the domestic reference crude oil change rate remains positive, indicating a potential increase in domestic refined oil retail prices [1] Group 1: Price Adjustments - The expected increase in domestic refined oil retail prices will mark the seventh price hike [1] - According to Zhaochuang Information analyst Dai Tiandong, the reference crude oil change rate as of November 7 was 2.82%, predicting an increase of 125 yuan per ton for gasoline and 120 yuan per ton for diesel, with a rise of 0.10 yuan for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel [1] Group 2: Impact on Consumers - After the price adjustment, filling a 50L tank of 92 gasoline will cost an additional 5 yuan for private car owners [2] - For a vehicle running 2000 kilometers per month with an average fuel consumption of 8L per 100 kilometers, the fuel cost will increase by approximately 7 yuan before the next price adjustment window [2] - In the logistics sector, a heavy truck running 10,000 kilometers per month with a fuel consumption of 38L per 100 kilometers will see an increase of about 177 yuan in fuel costs before the next price adjustment [2] Group 3: Future Market Outlook - The market will focus on the crude oil inventory situation following the seasonal decline in U.S. oil demand, with macroeconomic factors expected to play a reduced role [2] - The new pricing cycle may start with a negative crude oil change rate, potentially leading to a price reduction of around 70 yuan per ton, with the next adjustment window set for November 24 [2]