今晚，油价上涨！四个月来第一次！

Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail price of refined oil in China is set to increase for the first time in over four months, with a rise of 0.10 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel, effective from November 10 at 24:00 [1][7]. Price Adjustment Summary - The upcoming price adjustment marks the first increase since July 1, with the current year experiencing 21 price changes, resulting in a pattern of "six increases, nine decreases, and six stasis" [7]. - After the price increase, the total adjustments will shift to "seven increases, nine decreases, and six stasis" [7]. - The average price of crude oil referenced for this adjustment is 62.44 USD per barrel, with a change rate of 2.74%, leading to an expected increase of 125 yuan per ton for gasoline and 120 yuan per ton for diesel [7]. Market Dynamics - During the current pricing cycle, international oil prices experienced fluctuations, initially rising due to concerns over Russian oil supply following U.S. sanctions, but later declining due to OPEC+ production plans and increased U.S. crude oil inventories [4]. - Despite the recent price increase, analysts suggest that the market may face downward pressure in the future due to ongoing uncertainties in U.S. trade negotiations and the seasonal decline in oil consumption [10][12]. Consumer Impact - With the price increase, filling a 50L tank of 92 gasoline will cost an additional 5 yuan [9]. - Consumers are advised to fill their tanks before the price increase, as future price movements remain uncertain [9].