智通财经网·2025-11-10 06:12Core Viewpoint - The report from Industrial Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for MGM China (02282), highlighting the company's strong market share and performance despite a decline in revenue and EBITDA in Q3 2025 due to high base effects and typhoon impacts, with a positive outlook for Q4 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 8.51 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.4% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 1.8% [2] - The adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was HKD 2.37 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 19.6% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.5% [2] - The adjusted EBITDA margin for Q3 2025 was 27.9%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.5 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 1.1 percentage points [2] Group 2: Segment Performance - Revenue from MGM Macau and MGM Cotai in Q3 2025 was HKD 3.39 billion and HKD 5.12 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 11.6% and 21.5% [2] - Adjusted EBITDA for MGM Macau and MGM Cotai was HKD 0.91 billion and HKD 1.46 billion, with year-on-year growth of 14.1% and 23.3% [2] Group 3: Future Projections - The company is expected to generate revenues of HKD 34.2 billion, HKD 35.2 billion, and HKD 36.2 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.0%, 2.9%, and 2.9% [1] - The adjusted EBITDA projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are HKD 9.5 billion, HKD 9.7 billion, and HKD 10.0 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.0%, 2.4%, and 2.9% [1]