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申万宏源:建材行业淡季调整 关注玻璃反内卷进展
智通财经网·2025-11-10 06:47

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials industry is experiencing a narrowing revenue decline and profit improvement in the first three quarters of 2025, with notable performances in the cement and fiberglass sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The construction materials industry sample companies achieved a total revenue of 432.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 3.1%, which is an improvement of 11.7 percentage points compared to the full year of 2024 [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 24.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.8%, contrasting with a 49.1% decline in 2024 [2]. Group 2: Cement Industry - Cement sample companies reported a total revenue of 432.25 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 3.1%, while net profit increased by 27.8% [2]. - Huaxin Cement showed the most significant growth, with strong performance in overseas cement and domestic aggregate businesses [2]. - Anhui Conch Cement contributed over half of the industry's profit due to its cost and scale advantages [2]. Group 3: Fiberglass Industry - The fiberglass sector saw a total revenue of 49.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.5%, and a net profit of 4.87 billion yuan, up 121.4% [3]. - The price recovery effects began to manifest in the first half of 2025, with a slight decline in Q3 profits compared to the previous quarter, but still showing year-on-year improvement [3]. - Companies like China National Materials, International Composites, and Honghe Technology are gradually contributing to revenue and profit through their special fabric layouts [3]. Group 4: Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials segment reported a revenue of 110.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 0.9%, and a net profit of 8.21 billion yuan, down 6.9% [4]. - Keda Manufacturing benefited from its long-term overseas layout and improved pricing in the overseas tile market, leading to significant revenue growth [4]. - Sanhe Tree is accelerating its unique channel advantages and new business layouts, responding to the demand from old residential areas and rural self-built houses [4]. Group 5: Glass Industry - The glass industry achieved a revenue of 38.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 11.0%, with a net profit of 0.94 billion yuan, down 63.2% [5]. - The photovoltaic glass sector experienced a phase of recovery, but profitability began to decline after May due to high base effects from the previous year [5]. - The construction glass sector remains under pressure due to weak real estate completions, necessitating attention to supply contraction and pricing effects [5]. Group 6: Early Cycle Industries - Early cycle sectors are still under pressure, with profitability constrained by cement price recovery [6]. - Leading companies like Subote have achieved both revenue and profit growth by expanding into major projects in the western regions [6]. Group 7: Investment Analysis - Investment opportunities are suggested in the fiberglass and cement sectors due to improving profitability [7]. - Recommended stocks include leading companies in the cement sector such as Huaxin Cement, Anhui Conch Cement, and Shangfeng Cement [7]. - In the fiberglass sector, companies like China Jushi, China National Materials, and Honghe Technology are highlighted for their performance recovery and growth expectations in special fabric businesses [7]. - Companies with alpha attributes in consumer building materials and early cycle sectors include Sanhe Tree, Keda Manufacturing, Dongpeng Holdings, and Subote [8].