央行重启国债买卖 长端利率债、“固收+”理财有望受益

Core Viewpoint - The resumption of public market treasury bond trading by the central bank in October signals a positive outlook for the bond market, with expectations for long-term interest rates to decline and related investment products to benefit [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Signals and Economic Impact - The central bank's resumption of treasury bond trading is seen as a signal for stabilizing growth, which is expected to boost confidence in the bond market [2][3]. - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) indicated that the overall operation of the bond market is good, with current interest rates in a policy-consistent range, which supports market expectations [2][3]. - The operation size of 20 billion yuan, while modest, carries significant signal value, enhancing confidence in the bond market, particularly for medium to long-term interest rate bonds [2][3]. Group 2: Interest Rate Trends and Investment Opportunities - Long-term interest rates for treasury bonds have begun to decline since late October, with expectations for further decreases, presenting investment opportunities in related financial products [3][4]. - The resumption of bond purchases by the central bank is expected to create a favorable environment for long-term interest rates to decline, benefiting bond-related investment products [4][5]. - Investors are advised to focus on bond products with longer durations and stable historical returns, as these are likely to benefit from the anticipated rise in bond prices [5][6]. Group 3: Strategic Investment Approaches - Institutions suggest increasing allocations to medium and short-term credit bonds, as the central bank's actions are expected to improve liquidity and compress credit spreads [6]. - Investment strategies should include optimizing portfolio structures, increasing liquidity through open-end or short-term products, and diversifying into "fixed income plus equity" products to balance risks [6][5]. - The current market environment allows for the inclusion of reasonably valued equity assets in investment strategies, leveraging "fixed income plus equity" products for better returns [6].