每经热评︱PPI环比年内首涨:反内卷初见成效,持续改善尚待供需两端久久为功
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-11-10 10:32

Group 1: Economic Indicators - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.2%, marking the sixth consecutive month of growth [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, but the decline narrowed by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, with a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, marking the first rise in PPI this year [1] Group 2: Coal Industry Insights - The coal mining and washing industry saw a month-on-month price increase of 1.6% in October, marking the third consecutive month of positive price changes after nine months of negative trends [1] - The average spot price of 5500 kcal thermal coal was approximately 673 yuan/ton in the third quarter, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of about 6.75% [1] - China Shenhua, a leading company in the coal sector, reported a quarter-on-quarter revenue growth of 9.51% in the third quarter [1] Group 3: Photovoltaic Industry Developments - In October, the prices of photovoltaic equipment and components increased by 0.6% month-on-month, showing significant improvement from previous months [2] - Since July, prices for silicon materials, silicon wafers, batteries, and modules have risen by 42.9%, 38.9%, 9.6%, and 1.5%, respectively, indicating a notable recovery in the upstream segments [2] - Leading companies in the photovoltaic sector, such as Longi Green Energy and Tongwei Co., have significantly reduced their net profit losses in the third quarter compared to the second quarter [2] Group 4: Structural Challenges and Policy Implications - The increase in PPI is partially attributed to rising copper prices, which contributed 0.2% to the PPI growth in October, while the overall PPI remains negative year-on-year [3] - The stabilization of electricity prices is a key focus for state-owned enterprises, aiming to prevent "involution" in the coal and electricity sectors, which could support upstream pricing [4] - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing capacity integration efforts, with 17 silicon material companies working to establish a "joint body" for resource management, although details are still under discussion [4]