美国30年来首次缺席国际气候谈判，COP30如何研判“交卷年”？

Core Points - The absence of the U.S. at COP30 marks the first time since 1995 that the country has not sent senior officials to a COP meeting, which raises concerns about global climate cooperation [1][5] - COP30 is crucial as it aims to assess collective progress on climate actions and convert the scientific consensus on the 1.5°C target into practical measures [3][4] - The conference will focus on submitting new Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) from countries, which outline their emission reduction targets and specific measures [3][4] Group 1 - The global temperature is on track to exceed the 1.5°C limit set by the Paris Agreement, necessitating a 60% reduction in global emissions by 2030 to stay within this target [3][4] - The current NDCs are projected to achieve only about 10% of the required emission reductions, highlighting a significant gap in climate action [3][4] - The NRDC reports that since the Paris Agreement, clean energy has created 36.2 million jobs, surpassing employment in fossil fuel sectors [4] Group 2 - COP30 aims to mobilize $1.3 trillion annually for climate financing, with a focus on supporting countries in adapting to climate change [6][8] - The conference will also review the "Baku to Belem $1.3 trillion roadmap report," which outlines five priority areas for resource mobilization [7] - The U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement has created a funding gap of $100 billion to $150 billion in the climate financing roadmap, complicating efforts to meet climate goals [8]