TC Energy Q3 Earnings Match Estimates, Revenues Beat, Both Fall Y/Y

Core Insights - TC Energy Corporation (TRP) reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of 56 cents per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but down from 76 cents in the same period last year, primarily due to weak performance in the Power and Energy Solutions segment [1] - The company's quarterly revenues reached $3.7 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $49 million, although this represents a 10.1% decrease year over year [2] Financial Performance - Comparable EBITDA for TC Energy was C$2.7 billion, down from C$2.8 billion in the prior year and missing the estimate of C$2.8 billion [2] - The board declared a quarterly dividend of 85 Canadian cents per common share, translating to an annualized rate of $3.40 [3] Segment Performance - Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines reported a comparable EBITDA of C$913 million, an 8% increase from the previous year, driven by contributions from Coastal GasLink, but missed the estimate of C$979 million [4] - U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines reported a comparable EBITDA of C$1,062 million, a 6% increase year over year, primarily due to higher earnings from Columbia Gas and increased transportation rates [6][7] - Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines saw a comparable EBITDA of C$416 million, up 57% from C$265 million in the prior year, exceeding the estimate of C$314.2 million, driven by higher earnings from TGNH following the completion of the Southeast Gateway pipeline [9][10] - Power and Energy Solutions reported a comparable EBITDA of C$266 million, down 18.4% from C$326 million in the previous year, missing the estimate of C$328 million, mainly due to lower contributions from Bruce Power and reduced power prices [11] Operational Metrics - Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines averaged deliveries of 23.0 Bcf/d, a 2% increase year over year, with NGTL system receipts averaging 14.0 Bcf/d, reflecting a 1% increase [5] - U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines maintained average daily flows of 26.3 Bcf/d, unchanged from the previous year, with LNG-related activity increasing to an average of 3.7 Bcf/d, a 15% year-over-year rise [8] Capital Expenditures and Guidance - As of September 30, 2025, TC Energy's capital investments totaled C$1.5 billion, with cash and cash equivalents of C$1.8 billion and long-term debt of C$44.4 billion, resulting in a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 59.5% [13] - The company expects 2025 comparable EBITDA to be between C$10.8 billion and C$11 billion, with capital expenditures trending toward the lower end of the $6.1 billion to $6.6 billion guidance [14] - Looking ahead to 2026, TC Energy anticipates EBITDA to rise to C$11.6 billion to C$11.8 billion, indicating a 6-8% year-over-year increase [15]