QuantumScape Stock Up 83% in 3 Months: Is it Still a Buy?

Core Insights - QuantumScape Corp. has made significant progress in the battery space, with its stock surging approximately 220% year-to-date, including an 83% increase in the last three months, outperforming the industry [1][5] - The company has achieved operational and technological milestones that could enhance its long-term value [1] Technological Advancements - QuantumScape's breakthrough is the Cobra separator process, a next-generation manufacturing method that enhances the commercial viability of solid-state batteries [3] - The Cobra process is 25 times faster than the previous Raptor system, allowing the company to transition from Raptor-based B0 samples to the latest B1 samples [4][5] - In Q3 2025, QuantumScape began shipping B1 samples to automotive partners, marking a significant milestone as several automakers are now evaluating these cells [7] Industry Validation and Partnerships - QuantumScape demonstrated its technology at the IAA Mobility show in Munich, showcasing a Ducati MotoE race bike powered by its QSE-5 solid-state cells, achieving an energy density of 844 Wh/L [8] - The partnership with Volkswagen's PowerCo has deepened, with PowerCo pledging up to $131 million to accelerate the QSE-5 pilot line development [11] - The company has also signed a joint development agreement with another major automaker and partnered with Murata Manufacturing and Corning to scale production of ceramic separators [12] Financial Position and Business Model - QuantumScape ended Q3 with approximately $1 billion in liquidity, extending its cash runway through 2029, aided by a $263.5 million capital raise [13][14] - The company reported its first customer billings of $12.8 million in Q3, primarily from Volkswagen's PowerCo, indicating early signs of monetization [15] - QuantumScape is focused on a capital-light licensing model, prioritizing technology development and collaboration over costly gigafactory builds [14] Future Outlook - The advancements in the Cobra process, the initiation of B1 sample shipments, and successful real-world demonstrations indicate that QuantumScape's technology is moving towards practical applications [16][17] - Despite the long journey ahead for solid-state battery commercialization, QuantumScape possesses both technological validation and financial stability to support its progress [18]