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Instacart Is Winning More Shoppers By Staying Affordable, Analysts Say
Maplebear Maplebear (US:CART) Benzingaยท2025-11-10 17:26

Core Insights - Instacart reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter results and raised its fourth-quarter outlook, indicating resilient demand despite increased competition in grocery delivery [1] - JPMorgan maintained an Overweight rating on Instacart, highlighting a closing stock price of $36.75 on November 7 [1] Financial Performance - Gross transaction volume (GTV) for the third quarter reached $9.17 billion, slightly exceeding expectations and surpassing the high end of company guidance [1] - Orders increased by 14% to 83.4 million, aligning with forecasts, while the average order value was approximately $110, down 3.5% year-over-year but still above estimates [2] - Revenue rose by 10% to $939 million, driven by $670 million in transaction revenue and $269 million in advertising revenue [3] - Adjusted EBITDA was $278 million, or 3.03% of GTV, exceeding JPMorgan's forecast of $268.3 million and the company's guidance range of $260 million to $270 million [4] Future Guidance - For the fourth quarter, Instacart projected GTV between $9.45 billion and $9.6 billion, implying a growth rate of 9% to 11%, which is about 1% above consensus at the midpoint [5] - The company also forecasted adjusted EBITDA of $285 million to $295 million, modestly ahead of expectations of $289 million at the midpoint [5] Competitive Positioning - Approximately 80% of Instacart's GTV now comes from non-exclusive retailers, with deep integrations supporting continued double-digit annual GTV growth, alleviating concerns over competition from Kroger's new partnerships with Uber and DoorDash [6] Shareholder Returns - Instacart repurchased about $62 million of its common stock and announced a $250 million accelerated share repurchase, alongside a $1.5 billion expansion of its buyback program, representing roughly 15% of its fully diluted market capitalization [7] Stock Performance - Instacart shares were trading higher by 1.74% to $37.39 at the last check [8]