Can Macy's (M) Keep the Earnings Surprise Streak Alive?

Core Viewpoint - Macy's is positioned well to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates, supported by a strong history of performance in recent quarters [1][2]. Earnings Performance - Macy's has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, achieving an average beat of 65.04% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the most recent quarter, Macy's reported earnings of $0.41 per share against an expectation of $0.19, resulting in a surprise of 115.79% [2]. - For the previous quarter, the company reported $0.16 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.14, which was a surprise of 14.29% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Macy's have been revised upward, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [5]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP for Macy's is currently +14.82%, suggesting bullish expectations for upcoming earnings [8]. - A positive Earnings ESP combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) indicates a high likelihood of another earnings beat [8]. Statistical Insights - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7]. Importance of Earnings ESP - Monitoring a company's Earnings ESP before quarterly releases is crucial for increasing the likelihood of successful investment decisions [10].