PayPal's Solid Q3 Transaction Revenues Set the Stage for a Strong 2025

Core Insights - PayPal Holdings reported transaction revenues of $7.52 billion in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 6.4% and accounting for approximately 89.4% of its net revenues [1][8] - The growth in transaction revenues is attributed to the rise in online shopping and mobile payments, contributing to solid financial results for the quarter [1] Transaction Revenue Details - Transaction revenues primarily derive from fees charged to merchants and consumers for payments processed through PayPal's platforms, based on the Total Payment Volume [2] - Transaction margin dollars (TM$) for Q3 2025 reached $3.87 billion, exceeding management's guidance range and representing a growth of 5.9% on a reported basis [3][8] - Excluding interest on customer balances, TM$ increased by 7.1% to $3.55 billion [3] Business Segments Contribution - TM$ growth is driven by various business segments, including branded experiences, Payment Service Providers (PSP), and Venmo, with a notable rebound in the enterprise payments business contributing to this growth [4][8] Competitor Performance - Block's transaction revenues for Q3 2025 were $1.87 billion, up 9.4% year-over-year, representing 30.6% of its net revenues [5] - Payoneer Global reported total revenues of $270.9 million for Q3 2025, a 9% year-over-year increase, with revenues excluding interest income growing by 15% [6] Valuation and Estimates - PayPal shares have declined by 21.3% year-to-date, underperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500 Index [7] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month P/E of 11.44X, significantly lower than the industry average of 20.64X, indicating a cheap valuation [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for full-year 2025 EPS has been revised upward, suggesting a year-over-year growth of 14.6% [11]