Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-11-10 22:15Core Insights - Starbucks is restructuring its equity in China, partnering with Boyu Capital to form a joint venture, reflecting the challenges faced in the high-end coffee market due to increasing competition from local brands [2][3] - The coffee consumption trend in China is shifting from a "social attribute" to a "daily necessity," with affordable quality coffee becoming mainstream [1][7] Starbucks' Strategic Moves - Starbucks has entered a strategic partnership with Boyu Capital, which will invest approximately $4 billion for up to 60% ownership in the joint venture, valuing Starbucks' retail business in China at over $13 billion [2] - The new joint venture will manage around 8,000 existing stores and aims to expand to 20,000 locations in the future [2] - The company reported a 5% year-on-year revenue increase to $3.105 billion for the 2025 fiscal year in China, but same-store sales declined by 1% [2] Market Dynamics - The high-end coffee market is experiencing a downturn, as evidenced by Starbucks' first large-scale price reduction in China, with an average price drop of about 5 yuan for several products [3] - Local brands like Luckin Coffee and Manner are gaining market share by offering competitive pricing and expanding rapidly, with Luckin Coffee leading the market with 27,000 stores [4][5] Rise of Local Brands - Local affordable coffee brands are expanding aggressively, with a reported 3,725 new stores opened in September, a 103.11% increase year-on-year [4] - Luckin Coffee has surpassed 9,500 stores, while Kudi Coffee and other local brands are also making significant inroads into urban markets [5][6] Consumer Behavior Shift - The shift in consumer preferences is evident, as consumers are increasingly prioritizing value for money over brand prestige, leading to a structural adjustment in the high-end coffee market [2][6] - The coffee market is projected to grow significantly, with the ready-to-drink coffee market expected to reach 424.2 billion yuan by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 18.5% from 2024 to 2028 [7] Supply Chain Importance - Supply chain capabilities are becoming critical for brand competitiveness, with effective management of raw material supply, cost control, and rapid market response being essential for success in the affordable coffee segment [8] - The ability to maintain quality and consistency through a robust supply chain will be a key differentiator for brands in the increasingly competitive coffee market [8]