中经评论：全球最大消费市场该是啥样

Core Insights - The eighth China International Import Expo showcased the growing vitality and attractiveness of the Chinese market, emphasizing the need for a balance between economic strength and external responsibilities to become a core engine of global economic growth [1] Group 1: Market Size and Structure - The U.S. personal consumption expenditure is projected to reach approximately $19.8 trillion in 2024, making it the largest in the world; however, its high service consumption ratio, nearly 70%, particularly in healthcare and finance, poses burdens on the public [1] - A truly influential consumer market requires a synergistic development of goods and services to meet diverse consumer needs and reflect a balanced economic operation [1] Group 2: Openness and Global Integration - The U.S. has been a net importer, significantly impacting global supply chains; however, unilateral protectionist policies, such as increased tariffs, challenge global economic growth and deviate from the responsibilities of a major consumer market [2] - In contrast, China is expanding its openness, providing opportunities for global enterprises, with a cumulative import of consumer goods amounting to 7.4 trillion yuan from 2021 to 2024, and a projected inbound tourist spending of $94.2 billion in 2024, a 77.8% increase [2] Group 3: Innovation and Sustainability - Innovation is a key driver for maintaining market leadership, with China leading in digital consumption, projected online retail sales reaching 15.5 trillion yuan in 2024, and mobile payment transactions remaining globally dominant [3] - The "National Trend" phenomenon reflects cultural confidence, enhancing the local market's appeal and combining cultural self-assurance with commercial innovation [3] - The largest consumer market must guide sustainable consumption, promoting green and circular consumption models, as seen in China's trade-in policies that stimulate consumption while advancing environmental goals [3] Group 4: Future Market Dynamics - With a population exceeding 1.4 billion, China is poised to become the largest consumer market globally, but the competition will focus on development quality rather than just scale [4] - The largest consumer market must balance openness and protection, innovation and regulation, and growth and sustainability to ensure stable expectations for global consumers, enabling them to not only "buy" but also "buy well" [4]