Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry is expected to see a significant increase in installed capacity, with a projected total of 300GW for the year 2025, driven by policy support and demand improvements [2][3] Industry Summary - The cumulative newly installed capacity from January to September 2025 reached 240.3GW, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.3%, with a consumption rate of 95% [2] - A surge in installations occurred in April and May 2025 due to the deadline of Document 136 and 531, while September saw installations of 9.7GW, a decrease of 53.8% year-on-year [2] - The share of wind and solar power generation is expected to exceed 20% for the entire year [2] Investment Recommendations - The photovoltaic industry is characterized by a supply-demand expectation gap, with ongoing "anti-involution" actions on the supply side [3] - China's commitment to energy transition is underscored by the submission of its 2035 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) on November 3, 2025, which is anticipated to lead to earlier demand improvements [3] - Companies such as Longi Green Energy and JinkoSolar are recommended for attention due to their integrated component offerings [3]
随着中国NDC3.0的正式提交,光伏装机需求有望逐步改善 | 投研报告