贸易战局势改善 集运指数期价随资金博弈波动
Jin Tou Wang·2025-11-11 06:10

Core Viewpoint - The European shipping index futures experienced a rapid increase, reaching a peak of 1843.5 points, with a current report of 1816.7 points, reflecting a rise of 2.10% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On November 10, the SCFIS European line index recorded 1504.8, a month-on-month increase of 24.5%, exceeding market expectations [2] - The main contract's price is influenced by capital dynamics, with cautious operations recommended [2][3] Group 2: Economic Indicators - China's manufacturing PMI data for October showed a significant seasonal decline, with the new export orders index dropping by 1.9 percentage points to 45.9, indicating a fragile recovery in terminal transportation demand [3] - The German economy outperformed expectations, boosting market confidence and stimulating a recovery in the Eurozone economy [3] Group 3: Geopolitical Factors - The geopolitical situation, particularly the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, remains delicate and unstable, delaying expectations for the reopening of the Red Sea [3] - There is a potential for improvement in trade tensions and a significant easing of geopolitical conflicts, which could positively impact the shipping market [3]