政策利好持续释放，机构称内需或是2025年四季度经济复苏的重要驱动力量

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong consumer sector is experiencing narrow fluctuations, with the Hong Kong Consumer ETF (513230) declining by approximately 0.5%. Key stocks such as Alibaba-W, Bilibili, and Meituan-W are among the top decliners, while companies like Xpeng Motors and Samsonite show gains. The government continues to implement consumption stimulus policies, which are expected to boost consumer potential and drive economic recovery in the fourth quarter of 2025 [1][1][1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong Consumer ETF (513230) tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index, encompassing major players in both internet e-commerce and new consumption sectors [1][1]. - Key stocks in the ETF include Pop Mart, Laoputang, Miniso, Tencent, Kuaishou, Alibaba, and Xiaomi, highlighting a strong presence in both technology and consumer attributes [1][1]. Group 2: Government Policies - Since last year, various consumption stimulus policies have been introduced, including lowering existing housing loan rates to release consumer potential [1][1]. - On November 7, the Ministry of Finance released a report indicating continued implementation of special actions to boost consumption, providing financial subsidies for personal consumption loans and related industry loans, particularly in sectors like elderly care and childcare [1][1]. Group 3: Economic Outlook - According to Yingda Securities, the stabilization and recovery of price levels in October have stimulated demand, leading to a rise in the large consumption sector, particularly in the liquor and food and beverage industries [1][1]. - Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, domestic demand is expected to be a significant driving force for economic recovery in 2025, especially in consumer-oriented sectors [1][1].