Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-11-11 08:00Core Insights - SoftBank Group sold its entire stake of 32.1 million shares in Nvidia for $5.83 billion, indicating a significant shift in investment strategy [1][3] - The company also divested $9.17 billion worth of T-Mobile shares between June and September [1][3] - SoftBank's founder, Masayoshi Son, saw his net worth surge by 248% to $55.1 billion, reclaiming the title of Japan's richest person [3] - The company's stock price has increased over 338% since April, reaching a peak market capitalization of 38 trillion yen [3] - SoftBank's Vision Fund is set to invest an additional $22.5 billion in OpenAI, highlighting ongoing commitments to AI investments [3] Financial Performance - For the first quarter of the fiscal year 2025-2026, SoftBank reported revenues of 1.82 trillion yen, a 7% year-on-year increase, and a pre-tax profit of 689.94 billion yen, up 205.7% [3] - The Vision Fund segment turned profitable, contributing 451.39 billion yen to pre-tax profits [3] - In the second quarter, SoftBank's net profit reached an astonishing 2.5 trillion yen, exceeding market expectations [4] Market Dynamics - Recent indicators suggest that AI investments are reaching extreme levels, with significant risks accumulating in the market [1][5] - The influx of funds into large-cap growth and tech stocks has reached new highs, with retail investors heavily involved [6] - If AI tech valuations decline, it could potentially drag down U.S. GDP by 2.9% due to wealth effects [6] - The sentiment in the options market is extremely optimistic, with a high skew in call options for major tech stocks [6] Systemic Risks - The concentration of AI investments around Nvidia raises systemic risk concerns, as it supports nearly all major AI players [7] - Market narratives have shifted dramatically, indicating instability in investor sentiment [7] - Current conditions resemble historical bubble periods, suggesting that the AI investment frenzy may be transitioning from opportunity to risk [7]